Terminal
us tech · MSFT

Microsoft Corp.

$512.80-0.10 (-0.02%)
earnings n/apending
Synthesis · MSFT
tier MOD
LONG
3/4 lanes aligned

3/4 lanes bullish. ATR-sized stop · R:R 2.3.

Entry
$512.80
Stop
$494.50
TP1
$537.20
TP2
$555.50
buy conviction
B · 71

Constructive: wait for the trigger level or volume confirmation.

confirmation checklist
6/8 passing
  • Trend stack (price > EMA20 > EMA50)512.80 / 501.87 / 481.86
  • At or near 20d breakout20d high 522.85 · trigger 524.07
  • RSI in power zone (50-72)RSI 60
  • Volume confirmation (>1.1x 20d)0.91x
  • Macro backdrop not hostileMacro BULL
  • Stop risk under 6% of price3.57% ATR stop
  • No earnings inside 7 sessionsdate unknown
  • Sector outperforming SPY (20d)XLK +7.9pp · #3/7
Buy trigger
$524.07
20d high
$522.85
20d low
$486.00
Invalidation
$484.78

distance to trigger +2.20% · atr stop risk 3.57%

position sizer · paper only
Entry
$524.07
Stop
$505.77
Shares
13
Notional
$6813

Risking $250.00 ($18.30/share). Educational sizing — paper trading only.

sector context
Mega-cap Tech · XLK
rank #3 of 7
LEADER
20d
+7.74%
60d
+9.05%
vs SPY 20d
+7.89pp
sector relative strength · 20d vs SPY
leaders first
  • #1SMHSemiconductors+12.4ppLEADER
  • #2CIBRCybersecurity+11.1ppLEADER
  • #3XLKMega-cap Tech+7.9ppLEADER
  • #4IGVSoftware+4.8ppINLINE
  • #5WCLDCloud / SaaS+1.5ppINLINE
  • #6XLCInternet / Comm-2.1ppLAGGARD
  • #7XLYConsumer Discretionary-5.1ppLAGGARD
TTechnical lane

EMA structure, RSI regime, trend integrity

BULL
tier HIGH
  • EMA20 > EMA50 (501.87 > 481.86)
  • Price above SMA200
  • RSI 60
FFlow lane

Volume vs. 20d avg, momentum footprint

BULL
tier MOD
  • Vol 0.91x 20d avg
  • 5d momentum 3.0%
NNarrative lane

Relative strength, sector tailwinds

NEUTRAL
tier LOW
  • 20d relative perf 3.2%
  • AI capex tailwind narrative
MMacro lane

DXY, VIX, 10Y yields, NDX regime

BULL
tier HIGH
  • VIX 16.4
  • DXY -0.16%
  • 10Y -1.06%
  • NDX +0.31%

Educational tool. Not investment advice. Data provided by Finnhub API.