us tech · AAPL

Apple Inc.

$305.16-0.10 (-0.03%)

earnings n/aabove trigger

Synthesis · AAPL

tier LOW

STAND ASIDE

1/4 lanes aligned

Lanes disagree (0 bull / 1 bear). No high-conviction AAPL setup.

buy conviction

D · 18

Avoid: evidence does not support a long here.

confirmation checklist

4/8 passing

Trend stack (price > EMA20 > EMA50)208.01 / 213.28 / 212.27
At or near 20d breakout20d high 221.97 · trigger 222.24
RSI in power zone (50-72)RSI 33
Volume confirmation (>1.1x 20d)1.32x
Macro backdrop not hostileMacro NEUTRAL
Stop risk under 6% of price1.95% ATR stop
No earnings inside 7 sessionsdate unknown
Sector outperforming SPY (20d)n/a

Buy trigger

$222.24

20d high

$221.97

20d low

$206.34

Invalidation

$206.07

distance to trigger +6.84% · atr stop risk 1.95%

position sizer · paper only

Account size ($)Max risk (%)

Entry

$222.24

Stop

$218.18

Notional

$13557

Risking $250.00 ($4.06/share). Educational sizing — paper trading only.

TTechnical lane

EMA structure, RSI regime, trend integrity

NEUTRAL

tier LOW

EMA20 > EMA50 (213.28 > 212.27)
Price below SMA200
RSI 33

FFlow lane

Volume vs. 20d avg, momentum footprint

BEAR

tier HIGH

Vol 1.32x 20d avg
volume-backed decline
5d momentum -2.8%

NNarrative lane

Relative strength, sector tailwinds

NEUTRAL

tier LOW

20d relative perf -0.4%
iPhone cycle + services margin

MMacro lane

DXY, VIX, 10Y yields, NDX regime

NEUTRAL

tier LOW

VIX 14.7
DXY -1.23%
10Y -0.24%
NDX -0.46%

Educational tool. Not investment advice. Data provided by Finnhub API.